Tag Archives: Romney

Episode 123 – GOP 2012 Romney’s to Lose, Bachmann’s to Win?



Who is going to challenge Mitt Romney for the 2012 GOP Presidential Nomination? Will it come from the evangelical right, as conventional wisdom dictates, or with everyone so far to the right, will the challenge come from the left, through Huntsman? Are Pawlenty and the others positioned properly? Is there a hidden anti-Mormon vote that will sink Romney and Huntsman? Do the Republicans want to beat Obama so badly that they’ll hold their nose and vote for anyone they think will win, including the chameleoon-like Romney? Does Ron Paul have a shot, and why does he keep winning straw polls? All these questions are dealt with in the show, plus the issue of remaining in Afghanistan and Pakistan, whether or not we should be declaring war on Libya, and what is it about the new Green Lantern movie that sends chills down our hosts spines? Always irreverent and informative, it’s PoliTalk. Best Friends. Vast Experience. Engaging political discussion…without the fighting!

Best Friends. Vast Experience. Engaging political discussion without the fighting…and with a few laughs. It’s PoliTalk, your weekly political podcast.

You can get the PoliTalk Podcast on iTunes and Zune

Of you can play right the show here by clicking on the play button below:

http://traffic.libsyn.com/politalk/Episode_123_-_GOP_2012_Romneys_to_Lose_Bachmanns_to_Win_.mp3%20

Episode 118 – Romney Care, Budget Votes and Entitlement Reform



In this episode, Jeff and Glenn get into an interesting discussion about Glenn’s experiences with Mitt Romney’s health care plan in Massachusetts. They discuss various aspects of the health care situation in Mass, and then how it can impact Romney’s bid for the Presidency, and his criticism of ObamaCare. They then get into an interesting discussion of Michele Bachmann’s run for the White House, and how it doesn’t matter how many mistakes she makes on the way as long as she continues to stick her thumb in the nose of the establishment, because that’s what her constituents want (as much as it makes Jeff sick). Keeping the theme of getting sick, your stomach will turn when Jeff explains what’s really going on with the budget, CR and debt ceiling votes, and they close the show with an interesting talk about how we can achieve meaningful entitlement reform.

Best Friends. Vast Experience. Engaging political discussion without the fighting…and with a few laughs. It’s PoliTalk, your weekly political podcast.

You can get the PoliTalk Podcast on iTunes and Zune

Of you can play right the show here by clicking on the play button below:

http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Politalk-TheWeeklyPoliticalPodcast/~5/7SZpKZN-DTk/Episode_118_-_Romney_Care_Budget_Votes_and_Entitlement_Reform.mp3%20

Understanding the Message Context…


We’re heading into a very bizarre time — pre-primary candidate positioning. Campaigns are about time, money and messaging. In terms of messaging, most people focus on what a candidate says about him/herself. As this rolls out, consider this: the public perception is set in four ways:

1. Candidate on Candidate

2. Candidate on Others

3. Others on Candidate

4. Others on Others

For example, there’s what Romney says about himself (and he kind of changes his tune a lot). There’s what Romney says about others (not just Obama, but his Republican rivals). Then you have to consider what others say about Romney, and finally what they say about themselves (we’re the most reputable source on GOP politics…). Somewhere in this soup is a seed of a message.  A message that is clear, concise, and one that establishes an builds a brand that will organize or persuade voters and raise money.

In 2008, this was a $750 million endeavor by President Obama, that began four years out, but in earnest two years out. This is serious business, and the messaging construct is extraordinarily complex, never mind the fundraising, organizing, etc., etc.

I’ve been saying this for months now, but the Republican field, with the exception of Mitt Romney, is way too late into this game.  Most of them aren’t even close to the first-stage message yet.

 

— Jeff K

Where are they?


By this point in the 2008 cycle, then Sen. Barack Obama had announced and raised $26 million (the actual date was Feb. 10, 2007). There’s a lot of talk coming from the Republicans, but no candidates. I understand why they want to keep argument confined to legislative issues, but I’m not hearing a lot about staff hires or boat-loads of cash being raised by The Gang of 13. Interesting…

— Jeff K

The 2012 Presidential Campaign begins NOW!!


It might seem early, but the 2012 Presidential campaign is in full swing. Based on my experience in Presidential campaigns, I can assure you that fundraising operations are being set up, organizations are being put together, and messages tested.

The way I look at it, the GOP field breaks down into two categories: Managers vs. Ideologues. Ideologues rule the primary process, especially in Iowa and New Hampshire, but someone with the right strategy can wether the ideological storm and find their way to the South and West, and possibly have a shot at the nomination.

The best way to beat someone like President Obama is with his opposite politically — and contrary to what most people think, that is NOT an ideologue. Sarah Palin, like her or not, is another version of Obama. The strongest challenge to President Obama, in my view, comes from the Managers side of the equation — someone like a Mitch Daniels — Center-Right pragmatic managers who are fiscally disciplined and able to get things done well and who might lack Obama’s rhetorical flourish but who can connect with “small talk” — to workers in union lines or soccer moms at weekend games. Look for the Obama team to prop up Sarah Palin or Mike Huckabee — their dream candidates in a national election. Should be interesting…

Managers:
Daniels, Giuliani, Pawlenty, Hunstman, Barbour, Haley

Ideologues:
Palin, Huckabee, Gingrich, Pence, Thune

Mitt Romney, being the political chameoleon he is, ran first as a manager, now is an ideologue, who will become a “manager” if he wins the nomination. Slick Mitt is someone to watch, if his moves don’t become so transparent that he alienates everyone.

— Jeff K